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07/27/2010 - Toronto, Canada (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - While a home win by the Calgary Stampeders against the Saskatchewan Roughriders isn't completely surprising, that the win came by 20 points is not something many would have expected. Calgary put on a great second half show against what was the league's only undefeated team, and now sit first overall in the west. The Stamps were the only west team to win in week four, however, as Edmonton and BC joined Saskatchewan in the loss column.
CALGARY STAMPDERS
Calgary quarterback Henry Burris entered week four looking to prove himself against the league's best team, and the result was a division prepared to listen.
After giving up four interceptions in a three-point loss to Toronto last week, Burris overcame two first-half picks and tossed four touchdowns in a 40-20 win against the Roughriders.
It certainly wasn't a perfect game. Both of Burris's interceptions came in the Saskatchewan end zone, taking away two plays that should have resulted in points rather than turnovers.
The veteran QB made up for it with three TD passes in the second half, orchestrating a dynamic offensive attack that had the Riders defense gasping for air.
Receiver Romby Bryant was Burris's favorite target, hauling in two touchdown passes and accumulating 116 yards.
As long as Burris can control his sloppy play, as he did in the second half against Saskatchewan, the Stamps can challenge the Riders for first in the west.
Offensive key to next game: Calgary plays again at home, only this time against the unpredictable Winnipeg Blue Bombers. In week four, the Bombers pounced on Edmonton's mistakes and held the Albertan team in check. Winnipeg is looking to sweep the province, but as long as Burris can limit his interceptions, the Stampeders are in good enough shape.
Defensive key to the game: With all the turmoil at quarterback for the Bombers, one would think that holding the offense in check would be a piece of cake. On the contrary, as Steve Jyles performed admirably starting for the injured Buck Pierce, particularly in his ability to mix a solid running game with his passing. Though Jyles had a successful week four, Calgary can slow the momentum if it can halt Jyles from making first downs on the ground.
Look ahead: The Stampeders have an opportunity to surge ahead in the standings if they take advantage of a relatively soft schedule coming up. A home date at Winnipeg is followed by the troubled offense of the BC Lions and then a home game against rival Edmonton Eskimos. All three have losing records and are prime for Burris and the Stamps to add to their woes.
EDMONTON ESKIMOS
Nearly every team has shown at least some level of competency this season - all except for the Eskimos, who are now 0-4 for the first time since 1965.
Such a start points to a possible change in management, or even some roster moves; whatever it is, the Esks have to find out what to do fast as they are fading rather quickly.
Week four's game saw Edmonton try three different quarterbacks, though Jared Zabransky attempted just one pass. Starter Ricky Ray continues to struggle to find his game, tossing two interceptions to go along with two TD's.
On the defensive side of the ball the Eskimos haven't fared much better. While there have been a sample of individuals who have performed decently enough, there needs to be more of a team effort to get over the hump.
Offensive key to next game: Consistency is the ticket for Edmonton in their next game against BC, and a date with the Lions may be just what they need to put in four solid quarters. Given the uncertainty at QB, Arkee Whitlock may be the Eskimos' key man against a Lions team that has allowed some big numbers against the rush.
Defensive key to the game: The Lions offense was better last week, but not the best it could be. If Travis Lulay starts again for BC, Edmonton needs to exploit the newcomer. Lulay did have a decent game for the Lions, though he failed to toss a touchdown pass. Get to Lulay and the Eskimos can give their offense a chance to score some points.
Look ahead: After BC comes a challenge from the year's major story, the resurgence of the Toronto Argonauts. How good are they? Their record indicates they're a team to watch out for, but playing at home is a huge advantage for the Eskimos in this one. Perfect time to pick up that first win, as it appears unlikely they would get it visiting Calgary in Week 6.
BC LIONS
Travis Lulay led the Lions close to victory in Toronto, but a heartbreaking interception returned for a touchdown destroyed what could have been a decent, if not spectacular win for the BC squad.
Though he threw two picks, Lulay did fairly well moving the ball up the field. A bigger concern for the Lions is the play of newly-acquired Jamal Robertson.
Robertson had two touchdowns, but posted just 54 yards and a fumble in a match advertised as a head-to-head battle between Robertson and his replacement at running back, Cory Boyd. The rookie won round one, and if the Lions want to get their offense going, they need Robertson to step it up.
Offensive key to next game: What's the best way to cure a struggling offense? A matchup against the league's worst team, the Edmonton Eskimos. Edmonton allowed 47 points last week and looked lost defending the Bombers. The Esks had some major problems defending the ball on the ground, and so it's time for Robertson to be the player he's capable of being and attack that weakness.
Defensive key to the game: Edmonton will do its best not to go 0-5, and BC needs to be prepared for that desire to break the ice. Ricky Ray will desire to bounce back after having to sit back and watch his teammate, Jason Maas, take a few snaps at QB in an attempt to kick-start the offense.
Look ahead: The Lions' one win grants them a spot higher than Edmonton, but that's about it. Following their tilt against Edmonton the Lions face the top two teams in the west over the next two weeks. BC can climb their way up quickly if they can pick up some wins against their division rivals.
SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS
The season was moving along so smoothly for Saskatchewan's Darian Durant, who appeared to have things well under control at the pivot.
Things did not look that way in week four, however, as Durant threw three interceptions and the defense followed suit by granting too much space downfield for Burris to look at.
Even kicker Luca Congi had trouble getting it going, hitting just one of his three field goal attempts in the game.
Special teams continue to be amongst the Riders' weakness this season as the Stampeders' Deon Murphy averaged over 31 yards per kick return - far too high a number and one that allowed Calgary to maintain better field position.
Offensive key to the next game: The Hamilton Tiger-Cats did a good job of preventing Anthony Calvillo from marching all the way down the field -the problem was Damon Duval hit a team-record seven field goals, points that add up. Riders kicker Luca Congi will need to be more accurate in order for Saskatchewan to get going offensively, while Durant will need to forget about his last performance and focus solely on leading his team over a struggling Hamilton side.
Defensive key to the game: The Ti-Cats were sloppy rushing with the ball against Montreal last week. Saskatchewan can use that if the defensive line bullies down low bother them the way Montreal did, forcing fumbles and turnovers.
Look ahead: After their game against Hamilton, the Riders travel to Montreal in a rematch of the thrilling season opener. The chances of another high-scoring game is highly unlikely as defenses have since tightened up, but if both teams rediscover their offense, perhaps fireworks are still in order.
<< Former Buckeye, Raider Tatum dies
Columbus, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Hard-hitting linebacker/safety Jack Tatum has
passed away at the age of 61 after suffering a heart attack on Tuesday.
Nicknamed "The Assassin," Tatum played for Ohio State from 1968-70 and for the
Oakland Rai
<< Ambrose, JTG Daugherty Racing parting ways at season's end
Cornelius, NC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - JTG Daugherty Racing and driver Marcos
Ambrose will part ways at the end of the 2010 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series season,
team officials announced on Tuesday.
Ambrose has driven the No.47 Toyota for JTG
<< Plenty of options remain in NHL free agent pool
Toronto, Canada (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Nearly a month after the doors to NHL free
agency opened, the auction for the best up-for-grabs players has come to a
screeching halt.
On the first day of the highly anticipated off-season extravaganza, ow
<< Indians recall Tomlin to make major league debut
Cleveland, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Cleveland Indians recalled pitcher Josh
Tomlin from Triple-A Columbus to make his major league debut in a start
against the Yankees on Tuesday.
Tomlin is 8-4 with a 2.68 earned run average in 2
Jays face a major decision on Bautista >>
Toronto, Canada (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - It's safe to say Toronto Blue Jays General
Manager Alex Anthopoulos had no idea heading into this year that he would have
to make an important mid-season decision involving Jose Bautista. With the July
31st n
Hannover names U.S. defender Cherundolo captain >>
Hannover, Germany (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - United States defender Steve Cherundolo
was named captain of German Bundesliga club Hannover on Tuesday.
Cherundolo, 31, has been with Hannover for more than a decade. He joined the
club in 1999 and h
Heat bring back Shavlik Randolph >>
Miami, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Miami Heat have re-signed free agent forward
Shavlik Randolph to an undisclosed contract.
Randolph had two separate stints with the Heat last season. He appeared in two
games after being signed as a free a
Pats sign rookie LB Spikes >>
Foxboro, MA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The New England Patriots agreed to terms with
rookie linebacker Brandon Spikes on a contract on Tuesday.
Details were not disclosed, but the Boston Herald is reporting that the deal
is for four years and wo
Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.
He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.
"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.
He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.
Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.
Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.
Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.
Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.
With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.
Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).
And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)
The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.
While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.
Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.
One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.
Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.
What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.
That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.
MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.
"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.
"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."
So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.
In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.
MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.
The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.
Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.
MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.
To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.
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